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Louisvillekid1

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Everything posted by Louisvillekid1

  1. Until guys get signed up and start posting here. I'll prob be taking to myself for a while, but I think we can make some money tomorrow Check the Weather, chance of rain Race 1 I can’t get behind any in this field, the likely winners will be way to short for me. Race 2 Im all about this Khozan filly, #7 Go Jo Jo Go (2/1) , Been riding these for a while now, and is drawn in perfectly. Wire Job to kick off the Early Pick 4. Race 3 #1 Our Time (10/1) , Broke maiden on debut when catching a flyer from the rail beating Shivaree who is currently in the derby points wise. Hasn’t done much running at all since vs much tougher, but was ok on the grass try before going to the bench. Should be cranked up off another layoff, while dropping in for the tag. But there is plenty of speed in this field, and Saez should be able take advantage of this outside draw and use the #10 Bahamian Prince (2/1) , tactical speed to work out the trip. The #7 Sea Lover (4/1) , is 2 for 2, and comes out of one those big optional claiming tag priced races, with small purses, that Tampa runs. So not encouraging they are ready to let this one go already off those performances for 25k , but that does turn them a nice profit if you throw in the purse money of a 8500 sire fee, but I’m skeptical. The #9 Gran Hombre (6/1) , has been overlooked in the last and a running style that fits here. Would def be trying to beat Irad on the #6 Flash Pass (3/1) , and this gelding will be shorter than this and I couldn’t back even with the first time irad factor being real. I think it sets up nicely for the 10 Bahamian Prince , but would like to give the 1 Our time another chance as well. Race 4 #3 U S S Colton (6/1) , Is quite hidden in this field. The debut race was a good field and this Ralph Nicks Gelding , lost all chance at the start but took some money at least at 11/1. If can draw a line through the last race, assuming didn’t take to the Lawn. Then you Speightstown runner that might of found his friends. The works ok enough for prep. Debuting Pilot returns. Delgado has some gaudy numbers 1st off the claim, and saddles the #6 Captain Duke (5/2) , who was speed and fade on debut. The works since have been very good, Irad Takes over. #7 Sudden Capture (3/1) Debuted on the grass, in a EteIndien field, but they thought highly of this one paying 65k and now selling for 16k off the bench, big negative. The Clear horse to beat is the #8 Tigers Back (2/1) , Gets back on the dirt and shortens up, and Saez takes over. 370k purchase can be all yours for 16k here. I’d toss 7 because of those negatives, and take a stand against Irad again, Use the 3 and 8 on top Back later with the rest and some golden gate also
  2. Yeah It was only 3 horses that could win, oh well
  3. What were you saying about guys trying to join but paper work wasn’t going through?
  4. Pretty Ugly 6th The Firster looks playable simply since the rest of field outside of the favorite look pretty bad. The 9 did have a legit excuse on debut, came back to show speed , not sure what happened in the last, but the last work is very strong. Expect this one to be sent and if this gelding gets a clean break, might be worth a look. I can't get behind anyone else if trying to beat the chalk
  5. I did not see that coming, this constitution filly really took to the surface switch, that was huge performance, I thought both those horses were gonna be dead
  6. I Really think the 4 is hidden some in here, I mean for the dirt race vs winners and a lot of times synthetic can translate to turf. Im gonna toss in
  7. Nice so like 8 to win $1 8 w/ all $2 All w/ 8 as an example
  8. #8 Wildcat Merry really had tough onsets on both turf races, followed that by 2 really nice dirt efforts and now stretches out going back to the green stuff for which the breeding suggests. But man what a short price here. Maybe the light build came on for the #10 Langue Liee , as Centeno rides back after graduating. I thought the #4 Linda Bug, made some sense as a crazy long shot, off the bench. Encouraging to see them stretching out and moving up. Trying winners for the time angle, not lost here. There is no way this horse only had a work on Mar 22 and then one May 8th for the comebacker, Small track shipper, but that doesn't make sense.
  9. He had to work for that, I wonder if that race will come back strong The 1 is one to look for next time The 7 was ultra game
  10. i suppose you could try a straight Vertical keying the 3 w/ 4,8 w w/ all Hoping the 1 isn't what they thought and the 2 has had something go wrong. tough race to find value I do think the 3 wins tho
  11. Tampa Bay Race 4 My favorite type of race. Lots to cycle through here, Just give a run down #1 Branco Maria (3/1) , 3 year colt went for 385k in the august sales off a 100k sire fee. Barn does good work , but I don’t see anything jumping off the page in the mornings and to debut for only 20k? Is that because they don’t have other options maybe, but I’d try to beat and bet against not being a monster. Especially debuting from the rail. Chris Clement drops in the #2 Onward (2/1) , down to this level after dueling and quitting vs much tougher in Hallandale beach. The form is showing 3 straight bullets in prep for this, but if you look closely at times they are not fast. (Don’t just let a bullet work speak for itself). However the company that this 3 year old has kept back in New York along with these connections can not be ignored. Look finishing behind Modernist , Tap it to win , bunch of other really good horses. Ian Wilkes brings the #3 Falkirk (4/1) , down here for this off the layoff try. Running 5th on debut vs South Bend , Answer In, and others, is no disgrace at all. Meets top rider enticed. Really just mixed feelings but wouldn’t surprise me at all. The #4 Mukulqitz (7/2) , Is going to be overlooked with these connections, but fits here. I may be more interested in the other firster who is drawing much better on the outside #8 Detective (8/1) , Lets wait and see the tote board for this one, to give us more info I just have a feeling something happened to #2 Onward. Ian Wilkes looks to have the 3 cranked up, and could take a big step forward right off the bat on this new running cycle. The 4 makes a lot of sense. I can't find any way to get value here, even I was to toss the Clement/Centeno Colt
  12. That hurts , strikes off the layoff, His pick 5 ticket woulda been huge
  13. Dam, wanted that win money, but place money will get profit for the day
  14. Don't have much to say , in the 3rd race. I want to give the #7 PassionforTreasure another chance here and take a shot here Win and Place, more on place for this spot. Incase she isn't quick enough for the this scenario to be tactical. Sitting 8/1 currently
  15. tvg guys got it, 3 def killed the favorite, but I had the wrong horse to benefit from that... 8 was to far back
  16. Race 2 The company the Chalk kept in Hallandale and drawn perfectly outside here , cannot be ignored, and while it appears to be a race with some speed, I don't think the #6 and #7 are as fast as they look. The real threat to challenge up front comes from the #3 Golden Nole (5/1) , Angel had this one cranked off off the 4 month layoff and moves up a level in class here. I think the #10 is still faster and will crossover and make the lead with Gallardo. But if not and they hook up, I'd look to the #8 Feisty Chi Chi (7/2) , Just put line through the turf race 2 back, and you see a mare on the improve. Take a flyer on the 8 to WP
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