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2015 CAA/FCS football plays


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Predicted order of finish:

 

1) Villanova

2) JMU

3) W&M

4) New Hampshire

5) Richmond

 

I think Nova is a pretty clear cut preseason favorite IMO. They have a lot of talent on both sides of the ball. You can pretty much flipflop teams 2-5, but I do believe these 5 teams are on a different talent level than the rest of the conference

 

6) Stony Brook

7) Maine

8) Delaware

9) Towson

10) Albany

11a) Rhode Island

11b) Elon

 

I think Stony Brook has the potential to pull off some upsets in the CAA and be a surprise. They return a lot on what was a very good defense last year and should still have a decent run game, but will need to find a way to be at least decent in the passing game. Rhode Island and Elon are going to be very bad this year.

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Week 1 CAA plays:

 

Thursday:

 

309 Nova -3 (-120) @ UConn - 1.2 to win 1

310 Nova UConn UNDER 52.5 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2

315 New Hampshire +6 (-120) @ San Jose St. - 1.2 to win 1

 

Saturday:

 

348 Buffalo -14 (-120) vs. Albany - 2.4 to win 2

 

Week 1 Non-CAA plays:

 

325 South Dakota St. +5.5 @ Kansas (-120) - 2.4 to win 2

325 South Dakota St. ML (+165) - 1 unit

345 Gardner-Webb South Alabama OVER 39.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

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New Hampshire was a  big disappointment. Has to be some concern with how ineffective they were on offense against a bad San Jose St. defense.

 

Nova didn't play very well againt UConn (still had a chance to win sadly enough) and suffered a big loss in their #1 RB Gary Underwood. Don't think the injury is too serious, but they are a different offense with him off the field

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0-4, -7.2

7-6, +2.05

 

Bad week. Bad turnovers cost So. Ill the game and apparently Gardner-Webb is one of the worst teams in FCS if they lose at home to Elon.

 

Week 3

 

CAA plays

 

W&M UVA OVER 45 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2

W&M +25,5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

342 JMU -15.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

380 New Hamp Stony Brook UNDER 43 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2

380 Stony Brook +7.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

 

Non-CAA plays

356 East Wash -11.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

408 Weber St. -2 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

409 Northern Iowa -3 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

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Rough week for week 4. Like the week 5 CAA card much more than last weeks.

 

Week 5

 

CAA Plays

316 Stony Brook JMU UNDER 56.5 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2 - Field should be in terrible shape will all of the rain from Joaquin. Throw in the 15-20mph winds and I cant imagine much throwing taking place in the game. Bedell is out for Stony Brook so I really think they are going to struggle to get 14 in the game and are going to try their best at shortening the game against JMU's high-powered offense.

357 Maine +12.5 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2 - Same as JMU, the field should be drenched and windy. Richmond depends on moving the chains throwing the ball a lot more than Maine does, while Maine likes to wear down teams through their run.

357 Maine ML (+335) - 0.5 units

387 Rhode Island +13.5 - 1.2 to win 1 - Both teams are bad. Taking my chances on Rhode Island getting this many points.

 

 

Non-CAA Plays

314 Weber St. -2.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

325 Northern Iowa +6.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

325 Norhtern Iowa ML (+190) - 0.5 units

397 North Dakota St. -2 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

 

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Week 6:

 

CAA

512 Rhode Island +16 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2: Big win for Delaware last week against W&M, so a good time to catch a young team overlooking a bad opponent in Rhody.

513 W&M -2.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1: Reality check for W&M last week - they aren't good enough to sleepwalk against an average opponent and win. Nova had a bye week to prepare for this game (which worries me a bit), but Nova's offense was too dependent on Robertson before his injury and I think they will still have a tough time scoring.

564 Richmond Elon OVER 45 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

 

Non-CAA

543 Lafayette -1.5 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2

581 Weber St. +17 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

601 Illinois St. -1 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

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Week 7

 

CAA Plays

308 Rhode Island +17.5 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2 (Backing Rhode Island again. Richmond has a big game next week against JMU and this is an easy game to overlook against a bottom feeder. Richmond might not overlook them as much since Delaware lost to Rhody last week, but I still think JMU will be on their minds tomorrow)

399 Stony Brook Towson OVER 36 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1 (Total is a little low IMO. Stony Brook's defense has looked suspect of late - granted, they were top CAA teams they faced. Towson looked pretty good on offense last week against JMU)

 

Non-CAA Plays

321 Gardner Webb +3 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

327 Hampton +6 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

369 Penn -7 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

385 South Dakota St. +3 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

389 Eastern Washington -14 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2

412 Weber St. -2.5 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2 (I have bet Weber St. a lot this season. Think they have been undervalued by the books)

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Week 9

 

CAA Plays

512 Maine +4 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

512 Maine ML (+150) - 1 unit

574 JMU -13.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

580 Delaware +7.5 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2

580 Delaware ML (+230) - 1 unit

607 Nova -5.5 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2

 

 

Non-CAA Plays

516 Fordham -13 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

532 Wofford +11.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

570 Illinois St -10.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

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Week 9

 

CAA

311 Elon +8 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2 - Keep rolling the Stony Brook fade train, as injuries continue to ravish this team. Elon is a bad team (although they have done much better than I anticipated in their games), but a bye week for Elon to prepare against Stony Brook should help them be ready for this game.

351 Delaware +5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1 - Tough trusting a team as young as Delaware on the road, but I haven't been very impressed with Towson this season so far. Towson got very lucky with their schedule in not having UNH and Richmond on it, and hasn't played any difficult teams outside of JMU in conference so far.

351 Delaware ML (+160) - 1 unit

386 Richmond -24 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1 - As much as I don't want to back Richmond with it being a letdown spot, Albany has looked very, very bad the past month.

400 W&M -5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1 - Watching the JMU Richmond game, it had to be alarming for JMU how Richmond completely manhandled JMU in the trenches on both sides of the ball. Now they faced a W&M line that is probably the best in the CAA + 2 very good running backs. Factor in Vad Lee being out for the season, and I will back W&M (even though they have struggled with JMU the past few years).

417 Maine +11 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1 - Just going to start fading Nova until I see them look halfway competent on offense.

 

Non-CAA

339 Wofford -7 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

404 Portland St. -3.5 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

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Week 10

 

CAA

570 New Hampshire +8 (120) - 1.2 to win 1

612 Maine +3.5 (-120) - 2.4 to win 2

 

Non-CAA

558 Eastern Illinois +11 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

574 South Dakota State  ML (-105) - 1.05 to win 1

596 Montana St. +6 (-120) - 1.2 to win 1

596 Montana St. ML (+175) - 1 unit

 

All dogs this week. Hopefully they are biting

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