What chance does your NFL team have of winning this week?

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Week 2 Games

Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17

		Thurs Sept. 17		Sun Sept. 20																												Mon Sept. 21
Away team		DEN		TEN		STL		HOU		SF		TB		DET		ARI		NE		SD		ATL		MIA		BAL		DAL		SEA		NYJ
Pre-game win probabilities Pre-game Elo point spread		47%		39%		61% -3		31%		40%		24%		50%		62% -3.5		57% -2		37%		40%		63% -4		68% -5.5		49%		47%		29%
		52% -0.5		61% -3		39%		68% -5.5		60% -3		76% -8		50% PK		38%		43%		63% -3.5		60% -2.5		36%		32%		51% PK		53% -1		71% -6.5
Home team		KC		CLE		WSH		CAR		PIT		NO		MIN		CHI		BUF		CIN		NYG		JAX		OAK		PHI		GB		IND

Day	Away	Pre-game probabilities Pre-game Elo spread		Home
Thurs	DEN	47%	52% -0.5	KC
Sun	TEN	39%	61% -3	CLE
	STL	61% -3	39%	WSH
	HOU	31%	68% -5.5	CAR
	SF	40%	60% -3	PIT
	TB	24%	76% -8	NO
	DET	50%	50% PK	MIN
	ARI	62% -3.5	38%	CHI
	NE	57% -2	43%	BUF
	SD	37%	63% -3.5	CIN
	ATL	40%	60% -2.5	NYG
	MIA	63% -4	36%	JAX
	BAL	68% -5.5	32%	OAK
	DAL	49%	51% PK	PHI
	SEA	47%	53% -1	GB
Mon	NYJ	29%	71% -6.5	IND

Win probabilitiesElo point spreads

Team-By-Team Forecast

Forecast from

September 15 (current)September 10 (preseason)

 

					AverageAvg. Simulated Season			Playoff Odds
		Sim. Results		Playoff Odds
Elo Rating Elo	1-Week Change		Team	Division	Wins W	Losses L	Point Diff.	Make Playoffs Make Play- offs	Win Division Win Div.	First Round Bye	Win Super Bowl Win Super Bowl
1675	+11	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/NE.png&w=56&h=56	New England	AFC East	11.6	4.4	+119.6	81%	60%	47%	15%
1657	-20	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/SEA.png&w=56&h=56	Seattle	NFC West	10.0	6.0	+84.5	66%	41%	27%	11%
1615	+14	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/GB.png&w=56&h=56	Green Bay	NFC North	10.3	5.7	+73.0	72%	61%	33%	9%
1610	+14	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/DEN.png&w=56&h=56	Denver	AFC West	10.2	5.7	+67.8	62%	43%	27%	7%
1593	+3	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/DAL.png&w=56&h=56	Dallas	NFC East	10.1	5.9	+58.6	68%	54%	30%	7%
1563	-14	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/BAL.png&w=56&h=56	Baltimore	AFC North	8.7	7.3	+36.0	45%	33%	13%	3%
1563	+23	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/KC.png&w=56&h=56	Kansas City	AFC West	9.4	6.5	+40.7	50%	31%	18%	4%
1562	+22	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/CIN.png&w=56&h=56	Cincinnati	AFC North	9.0	6.9	+39.9	48%	37%	16%	4%
1559	+25	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/BUF.png&w=56&h=56	Buffalo	AFC East	9.6	6.4	+51.0	50%	22%	16%	4%
1557	+16	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/ARI.png&w=56&h=56	Arizona	NFC West	8.8	7.1	+24.1	44%	24%	14%	4%
1556	-25	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/IND.png&w=56&h=56	Indianapolis	AFC South	9.2	6.8	+48.8	61%	55%	17%	4%
1552	-11	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/PIT.png&w=56&h=56	Pittsburgh	AFC North	8.0	8.0	+11.8	37%	26%	10%	3%
1552	+16	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/CAR.png&w=56&h=56	Carolina	NFC South	9.9	6.0	+62.6	64%	51%	26%	5%
1547	+19	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/SF.png&w=56&h=56	San Francisco	NFC West	8.7	7.3	+24.1	42%	22%	13%	4%
1538	+15	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/SD.png&w=56&h=56	San Diego	AFC West	9.2	6.8	+29.1	46%	25%	15%	3%
1533	-12	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/PHI.png&w=56&h=56	Philadelphia	NFC East	8.2	7.7	+24.2	41%	28%	11%	3%
1523	-15	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/DET.png&w=56&h=56	Detroit	NFC North	7.8	8.2	+4.6	35%	23%	9%	2%
1501	+18	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/MIA.png&w=56&h=56	Miami	AFC East	8.1	7.9	-7.5	30%	10%	7%	2%
1497	+20	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/STL.png&w=56&h=56	St. Louis	NFC West	8.2	7.8	-7.4	32%	13%	7%	2%
1482	-23	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/HOU.png&w=56&h=56	Houston	AFC South	7.4	8.5	-8.2	31%	26%	5%	1%
1476	-3	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/NYG.png&w=56&h=56	N.Y. Giants	NFC East	7.2	8.7	-9.6	27%	15%	6%	1%
1474	+12	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/ATL.png&w=56&h=56	Atlanta	NFC South	8.7	7.3	+7.4	41%	27%	12%	1%
1470	-16	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/NO.png&w=56&h=56	New Orleans	NFC South	7.7	8.3	-4.8	31%	19%	7%	1%
1463	+23	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/NYJ.png&w=56&h=56	N.Y. Jets	AFC East	7.7	8.2	-5.7	23%	8%	5%	1%
1460	-19	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/MIN.png&w=56&h=56	Minnesota	NFC North	6.4	9.6	-55.7	18%	11%	3%	1%
1405	-14	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/CHI.png&w=56&h=56	Chicago	NFC North	5.5	10.5	-78.0	9%	5%	1%
1399	-23	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/CLE.png&w=56&h=56	Cleveland	AFC North	5.0	11.0	-111.0	6%	4%	1%
1385	+45	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/TEN.png&w=56&h=56	Tennessee	AFC South	6.7	9.2	-34.0	19%	15%	3%
1366	-22	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/OAK.png&w=56&h=56	Oakland	AFC West	4.5	11.5	-125.8	4%	2%
1354	-18	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/WSH.png&w=56&h=56	Washington	NFC East	4.6	11.4	-111.3	5%	3%	1%
1340	-16	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/JAX.png&w=56&h=56	Jacksonville	AFC South	4.5	11.5	-118.4	6%	4%
1331	-45	http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/nfl/500/scoreboard/TB.png&w=56&h=56	Tampa Bay	NFC South	4.6	11.4	-130.5	5%	3%	1%

 

[Sharp Square]

Saints definitely have to win against TB after that pile of shit performance in week 1 ....