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Why is Marshall only -5?


greenhippo
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I see Southern Miss is 5-0 against the spread despite being 3-2 and Marshall is 3-2 while sporting a 4-1 record. All of the computer numbers I'm looking at shows an overwhelming high percentage of -5 being a winner (ESPN NumberFire has -5 as an 80% chance of hitting) So why isn't this number at least 6.5 or a full TD? They're playing at home, I don't know of any significant injury for the Thundering Heard. It's Friday so we don't get the Thursday night underdog play going here. Has to be something I don't see here. I want to unload and unload again on -5 while it's still there. 

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