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List +EV bar bets

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23 replies to this topic

#1
FISHHEAD

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Bets that the guy sitting next to you will jump thinking he has the best of the wager, when in reality the odds are stacked against him. Go!

#2
KingRevolver

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In football, bet them (even money) that there will be a score in the final two minutes of the first half.

#3
joeybagadonuts

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Switching whiskey and water between two shot glasses is always good for a free drink.

#4
James D

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How about betting in a semi crowded bar two people share a birthday. ........ with a room of 30 people, the probability that 2 will share a birthday, is 70.6 percent, i.e. much more than 50%. it is from 23 people that you have just over 50% of having 2 common birthdays why? pretty easy start with one person add a 2nd person. and require that the 2nd person does NOT have a common birthday with the 1st person. There are 364 days to chose from, so the chance of that is 364/365=99.7%. now add a 3rd person. again, require that the 3rd person does NOT have a common bday w the other two. There are now 363 days to chose from, leaving 363/365=99.5%. BUT this is not all. You want both to NOT have common bdays for the 3rd, AND the 2nd person. These are independent events, so you must multiply the probabilities. If you do that, you get (364/365)*(363/365)=99.2 (not 99.5%) continue doing this, and at 10 people you get 88.3%. High but not that high. At 20 people you get 58.9%. At 30, 29.4%. At 50, you get to just 3%! Why is this relevant? Because the probability that at least two people share a birthday, is 1 minus the probability that none share a birthday. So, for 10 people, this is 11.7%, not that large. For 15, it is 25.2%. For 20, 41.1%. For 25, 56.8%. For 30, 70.6%. For 35, 81.4%. For 40, 89.1%. For 45, 94.1%. For 50, 97%. For 57, 99%. Bottom-line: from 23 people, there is a higher chance that 2 share a birthday, than that no one does. And from 57 people, there is quasi certainty that 2 share a birthday.

#5
KingRevolver

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In football, bet them (even money) that there will be a score in the final two minutes of the first half.


BTW, my non-gambling friends fall for this every time. Being at the bar, drinking some brewskies, and making $20-$50 here or there is always nice.

#6
iifold

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Full count. Bet next pitch will be a foul ball.

#7
FISHHEAD

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Full count.

Bet next pitch will be a foul ball.

Vice---that is one I use often!



In fact, that exact bet prompted me to start this thread.

#8
iifold

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Full count.

Bet next pitch will be a foul ball.

FH,

I'll be going through Vegas on my way to Arizona in November. We should have a 15 minute sitdown. Always wanted to meet the legendary Fishhead.

#9
cyberbabble

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On a full schedule day, say a dozen games or more, in MLB, bet that there will be two or more games with exactly the same two numbers for the final scores. You don't specify the numbers in the score, just that there will be two games that match. The numbers don't have to be in the same order. Ex: for a 3-2 game, another 3-2 game or a 2-3 game would qualify as a match. I can't give you a hit percent. Check a couple of weeks of scores. It happens nearly every time.

#10
blackchip

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In the NBA, if a player shooting 2 free throws misses the first one bet he will make the second one.

#11
iifold

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In the NBA, if a player shooting 2 free throws misses the first one bet he will make the second one.


What if this hack is shooting

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=St8sfKkszZ0

Mason's hair :smiley-laughing001:

#12
KingRevolver

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I remember Dudley playing for the Suns at the tail end of his career. He bricked some real doozies that year.

#13
The Seer

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Bet he cannot write the letter that sounds like the letter eye with a dot on top. When not written as here, just say letter i with a dot on top.

.

i


Above is the letter "i" which has it's required dot with an extra dot on top. You will most likely see i




#14
FISHHEAD

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Bet he cannot write the letter that sounds like the letter eye with a dot on top. When not written as here, just say letter i with a dot on top.

.

i


Above is the letter "i" which has it's required dot with an extra dot on top. You will most likely see i


Seer, like that one.......

#15
Propswatcher

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Superbowl prop sheets are great for this. One of my favs in Football- will a team have 3 scores in a row? YES

#16
Dire Straits

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3 scores in a row YES or NO was a lesson I learned early on. Super Bowl parties tend to be full of ignorant people who don't mind betting a few dollars. Many aren't fans of NFL or betting but are there to have a good time. You can make decent scratch and avoid playing squares

#17
cyberbabble

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Does a touchdown followed by the extra point count as two scores in a row?

#18
trytrytry

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Does a touchdown followed by the extra point count as two scores in a row?

no cyberbabble that is just one...

#19
trytrytry

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Full count.

Bet next pitch will be a foul ball.

vicehood that foul ball one..what are the actual numbers like for that situation?

#20
The Seer

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Women. Bet any man you can pick up his dollar off of the floor and he can't. Then back up to a wall with heels and butt touching the wall. Women can do this but men are more top heavy and will fall over every time.

#21
Bagiant

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Well I know some top heavy women that probably couldn't do that!

#22
The Seer

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Well I know some top heavy women that probably couldn't do that!


Good point. It worked when I was in school. I should have said "men do not fall for this bet". Women should try this at home first.

#23
KingRevolver

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Here are ten bets you will always win:

#24
Dire Straits

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The card, coin and water glass is from the 80s. We would all run around with credit cards like big shots. Always needing an excuse to pull them out to show off.




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