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Maron's Mind : According to One of my Favorite Hockey Metrics : This NHL Team will have the most value for the next month Until Dec 20th


maron
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  • 2 weeks later...

3-1 +1.07 Units since this began

[TABLE=class: data, cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 1, width: 300, height: 20]

[TR]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]12/04/14[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]BOS[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]W 7-4[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]W -110[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]O 5[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]12/02/14[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]PHI[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]W 2-1[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]W -185[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]U 5.5[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]11/29/14[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]ANA[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]W 6-4[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]W -140[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]O 5.5[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]11/26/14[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]CAL[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]L 0-2[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]L -193[/TD]

[TD=class: datacell, bgcolor: #FFFFFF]U 5.5[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

 

[ATTACH=CONFIG]n45646[/ATTACH]

 

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So you have an app. Mind explaining?

 

 

I had developed an app that "forecast" sports games.. NFL is one..MLB another and so on. I wanted to take an underappreciated metric like Corsi percentage and see what I could do with it. It gave me a value that said SJ was due for an uptick if they continued close to the level of puck possession they had.

 

I tracked results in threads...was up in units but a segment of the population gave me grief over it so I just keep to myself...

 

Once in a while I post about it but just keep it to myself these days.

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4-2 +0.61 Units

  • loss to edmonton -147 12/7
  • win Edmonton -204 12/9
  • win Minnesota -131 12/11
  • Win Nashville -129 12/13

new total 7-3 +2.14 Units

 

So far so good

 

 

4-2 + 0.61 Units

 

add 12/18 Edmonton win -270

add 12/20 St louis win - 130

 

It is December 20th

 

6-2 +2.61 Units

 

Happy with the result. Their possession style finally overcame their slow start. Those who tailed in this made money..

 

 

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