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Saturday Tout Plays


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Trace Adams

Saturday's Selection ...

For Saturday, Raise The Bar 1500♦ is Oregon plus the points against Kansas. At 7:45 am eastern time, the Ducks are +7 point dogs both in Vegas and offshore.


Kansas sure put on a show in the late game on Thursday night at the Sprint Center, as they gave the decidedly pro-KU crowd plenty of opportunity to chant and wave the wheat in the second half of their 98-66 bludgeoning of a Purdue team whose will got broken early and easily by the Jayhawks.


Earlier on the same court, Oregon went back-and-forth with the hottest team in the land, as the Ducks were able to hold off Michigan 69-68 in a real gut-check win. Now the Ducks are at the same point they were last season before falling to Oklahoma out of the Big 12. Deja Vu, as Dana Altman's team gets another Big 12 team, and gets the team that sure looks like they can be playing on the final Monday of the year next week in Glendale.


Chris Boucher is missed, but Altman has done a great job working his lineup without the big man in there, and Kansas is not particularly big nor deep, so I like the quick turnaround to work in the favor of the Ducks plus the points tonight.


Dillon Brooks will likely draw the assignment of defending freshman Josh Jackson in this meeting, and while Jackson was again stellar with 15 points against Purdue, let's remember that he is still a FRESHMAN!


Frank Mason III will once again be the engine that drives Bill Self's team, and while it is hard not to imagine KU advancing in this "home" game, I am having an issue laying the points against the gritty and motivated Ducks tonight.


Take the points and look for this one to be closer than expected.
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Brandon Lang

 

80 Dimes - Oregon Ducks +7 over the Kansas Jayhawks

 

CURRENT WEEK 3/21 - 3/27
 
FRIDAY
 
80 Dime Wisconsin - PUSH
 
Net for the day: +0 dimes
 
THURSDAY
 
80 Dime Michigan - Loss
 
Net for the day: -88 dimes
 
WEDNESDAY
 
20 Dime Cal Bakersfield - Winner
 
Net for the day: +20 dimes
 
TUESDAY
 
20 Dime Richmond/TCU Under - Loss
 
Net for the day: -22 dimes
 
 
LAST WEEK 3/14 - 3/20
 
MONDAY
 
40 Dime Tennessee Martin - Loss
 
Net for the day: -44 dimes
 
SUNDAY
 
40 Dime Rhode Island - Winner
 
Net for the day: +40 dimes
 
SATURDAY
 
100 Dime Iowa St - Loss
 
Net for the day: -110 dimes
 
FRIDAY
 
80 Dime Rhode Island - Winner
 
Net for the day: +80 dimes
 
THURSDAY
 
100 Dime Middle Tennessee State - Winner
 
Net for the day: +100 dimes
 
WEDNESDAY
 
80 Dime USC Trojans - Winner
 
Net for the day: +80 dimes
 
TUESDAY
 
40 Dime Mount St. Mary - Winner
 
Net for the day: +40 dimes
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Bruce Marshall | NBA Total
Double Dime - - 502 LAC / 501 UTA Under 203.5 Pinnacle

Analysis: There is some concern in Utah that neither Derrick Favors nor Rodney Hood will be able shake the knee injuries that have plagued them all season in Favors' case, and for the past two months in Hood's. The Jazz are 10-7 in their past 17 games as they try to cling to the West's No. 4 seed and home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Clips are in line for a bounce-back effort after a loss at Dallas on Thursday. Two of the first three meetings this season have been played at an extremely slow tempo, however, and Utah's pace is the slowest in the league. These teams will have trouble clearing 203 1/2 at Staples Center this afternoon. Play Jazz-Clippers "Under"
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Brad Powers 

2* Xavier/Gonzaga UNDER 145.5. 6:05pm ET. The Bulldogs have held their opponents to just 61 of 184 (33%) from the field so far in the NCAA tournament (best out of all tourney teams) and the Zags have the No. 1 defense in the country according to Ken Pom's efficiency ratings. However, their offense has really struggled particularly guard Nigel Williams-Goss and you can tell the Bulldogs are playing with some added pressure in trying to get to their first ever Final 4. The technical trends definitely favor Xavier here. Xavier is incredibly on a 19-5-1 ATS run in NCAA tournament games. They are 8-1 ATS in neutral court games this year and have covered 7 of their last 8 games. On the other side, Gonzaga is 0-2-1 ATS so far in this tournament and No. 1 seeds favored by more than 7 points are just 2-10-1 ATS in the Elite 8 round. Meanwhile, No. 8 seeds or worse are 7-0-1 ATS in the Elite 8. If you absolutely had to get involved on the side, I would lean with Xavier +8.5 but be wary of that popular public underdog.

1* (512) Kansas -7 over Oregon. 8:45pm ET. This line is a little steep as Kansas is getting a lot of love (it is deserved) off back-to-back blowout wins over Michigan St and Purdue. It also seems like the Jayhawks are getting around 2-points of home court advantage which is I do believe is about right. No. 3 seeds (Oregon) are just 2-9 ATS in the Elite 8 round. On the flip side, the Big 12 is on a 2-12-1 ATS run in the Elite 8. The media narrative is that the loss of forward Chris Boucher has not impacted Oregon that much. I disagree as if he were in the lineup, they would have had comfortable wins over Rhode Island and Michigan in the last two rounds and I would've picked them to go to the Final 4 (they probably would've beaten Arizona in Pac-12 championship game and would've played in West Region). The Ducks need a player of Boucher's caliber (leading shock blocker) to disrupt the dribble penetration of Kansas' elite back-court led by Frank Mason. It seems like Kansas is on a mission here and that first round loss to TCU in the Big 12 tournament could've been a blessing in disguise as it allowed a short rotation extra rest. If you absolutely had to get involved on the total, I would lean with UNDER 157

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