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Official TFG15 Super Contest Thread

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#26
The Dark Man

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So we're taking the 5 worst teams from last year and hope they had a good offseason?

Thanks Boat...

 

Mind your fukkin manners


Your face at first just ghostly, turned a whiter shade of pale


#27
Teddy kgb

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Mind your fukkin manners

Lol.....I use a status quo line 9/10 times....figured a friend of 10yrs like Brick would get it....

Oh well let's snap out of the negativity and start off 5-0

I'll post lines when available in about 4hr and then only need Brick to sign off on them and I'll send to proxy
Like a BAUS....

#28
Fecal Tornado

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OAKLAND over Tennessee RATING: 3 NEW ORLEANS over Minnesota RATING: 4 NEW ENGLAND over Kansas City RATING: 4 BUFFALO over New York Jets RATING: 5 HOUSTON over Jacksonville RATING: 5
THURSDAY NEW ENGLAND 33 - Kansas City 20 - (8:30 - NBC) -- Well, the Patriots went through the motions, with their 1-3 exhibition play record, allowing an average of 31.5 ppg.  As you remember, New England led the NFL in scoring "D", in LY's Super Bowl season.  Right, back to normal with the opening whistle here.  Pats have covered their last 8 games, while averaging 36 ppg over their final 5 tilts (16-3 for the year).  You can add RB Burkhead to Belichick's list of do-everything backs, in the mode of Wes Welker, Julian Edelman, etc.  Chiefs are 7-0 ATS vs AFC  East, but a bit thin at RB, altho Hunt has been just superb in the preseason. SUNDAY BUFFALO 27 - New York Jets 13 - (1:00) -- Let the Sean McDermott era begin at Buffalo.  Rare heavy chalk role for Bills, but note a 45-16 wipeout of the hapless Niners, as 9-pt favorites LY.  Rumors of QB Taylor departure were premature, altho loss of WR Watkins & Boldin has to hurt the overhead game. But RB McCoy (1,267 yds, 5.4 ypr in '16) is still here. Jets clocked in with a decent "D" in LY's 5-11 campaign.  Currently on a 6-16 ATS run, failing to top 6 pts on 4 occasions LY.  Bills are 5-2 ATS in series of late, & have a bit of payback for LY's 37-31 home loss.  Buffalo is a solid 9-3 spread play in opener. Atlanta 30 - CHICAGO 26 - (1:00) -- Can this team recover from Super Bowl LI? HC Quinn has now been involved in 2 teams choking against the Patriots in the big game (Seattle in '14).  Gone is offensive coordinator, Kyle Shanahan, who has taken over as HC of SanFran.  His replacement, Sarkisian, has had his ups & downs.  MVP QB Ryan threw for 4,944 yds & 38 TDs (7 picks), while Atlanta reached 28+ pts 15 times LY.  Bears also sport a HC that has lost a Super Bowl.  Glennon gets the starting QB slot, altho Trubisky had a stellar preseason, & won't be sitting the bench for any length of time.  Mild Bear call. HOUSTON 22 - Jacksonville 13 - (1:00) -- Quick, which of these 2 teams owns the better "D"?  Right, the Texans, who rank #1 in that column, but the Jaguars aren't far behind (#5).  Note that series visitor is on a 5-1 ATS run, including both matches in '16.  The chalk is on a 34-15 ATS run in Houston games, & the host is 12-4-2 ATS.  Jags have elevated Marrone from offensive coordinator, to head man, which can only be a plus for a team which has posted 6 straight double digit losing campaigns (combined 22-77 SU log since tail end of '10). Jags are on 8-12-1 ATS run, with 7-of-8 covers by 1, 3, 2, 2½, ½, 3½, 5½ pts. Philadelphia 26 - WASHINGTON 22 - (1:00) -- Eagle franchise hasn't been in a playoff game since trading McNabb in 2010, altho Philly did get off to that quick 3-0 SU/ATS start in '16, behind the leadership of rookie QB Wentz, who would set a team rookie-record of 3,782 PYs, & an NFL rookie-record by completing 379 passes.  But Eagles faded as quickly as they began, by losing 9 of their next 11 contests, before a 2-0 windup.  Dropped passes were Eagles' bane in '16, but addition of WR Jeffrey should aid in that category.  Call the mild upset. DETROIT 27 - Arizona 23 - (1:00) -- This may come as a surprise, but Detroit has made the playoffs 2 of the last 3 seasons.  So time to give Caldwell, Stafford, & mates their due credit.  Coincidentally, the Cards failed to make the preseason LY, after back-to-back post-season runs in '14 & '15.  LY, the Lions had a run, in which they held 6 straight opponents under 20 pts, while the Cards were the opposite, allowing 30.8 ppg over an 8-game span, covering just 2 of those 8.  The return of RB Abdullah is a huge plus for the Lions (played just 2 games in '16), & note that Detroit is 4-1 ATS as the series host.  Take the pts. Oakland 30 - TENNESSEE 20 - (1:00) -- Sorry, Atlanta, but no team enters this season with a larger chip on its shoulder, than do these Raiders, who lost MVP candidate, QB Derek Carr, to a broken leg in their final game.  He sure can put pts on the board, reaching 30+ pts 8 times, & being held under 27 pts in just 4 games.  And how about the addition of Marshawn Lynch?  Titans also on the upswing, coming from 2-14 & 3-13 campaigns, to LY's 9-7 log, with Mariota coming into his own.  However, note Tennessee is 2-11 ATS hosting AFC West.
MIAMI 26 - Tampa Bay 19 - (1:00) -- Welcome back to the AFC, Jay Cutler, which may be a plus or minus, a far as the Dolphins are concerned.  Not many QBs have been the subject of so many varied opinions.  The late-season loss of Miami QB Tannehill (out for entire '17 campaign) has been devastating, altho his tendency toward the INT can't be discounted.  The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in openers, while the Bucs are 1-3 SU/ATS in season starters.  A winning season for Tampa LY, following 5 straight losing campaigns, so no question that QB Winston (4,090 PYs) is a positive factor, with new WR Jackson also a plus. CINCINNATI 23 - Baltimore 16 - (1:00) -- Both of these 2 teams have had the same head coach for 10+ season, which is a rarity in this league: 10 years for Harbaugh, & 15 seasons for Lewis.  Congrats!  Bengals are in off their first losing campaign since 2010, with 9, 10, 11,10, & 12 win years, before LY's ugly 6-9-1 posting.  And they didn't follow any of those up years with playoff wins. So frustration rules.  Ravens were outgained in 5-of-6 division games LY, & half of their road wins the last 2 years have come at Cleveland.  Cincy by a TD hr. Pittsburgh 27 - CLEVELAND 13 - (1:00) -- For the first time in ages, the Browns just may have struck gold with their top draft pick, Miles Garrett, pass rusher extraordinaire.  The next Von Miller?  Who knows?  Cleveland has been mired near the bottom of the heap, as far as "D" is concerned, but that should change with Garrett & LB Collins a solid combo.  Steelers are again as talented a team as all but one, with Roethlisberger the main constant, altho such names as WR Brown, RB Bell, WR Bryant are also ringing bells.  Browns on 1-16 & 2-23 SU runs, as well as a 7-17 spread skein.  Also note Cleveland is 3-11 ATS at home. LOS ANGELES RAMS 22 - Indianapolis 20 - (4:05) -- Does anyone want to get anywhere near this?  The Colts without Luck are seemingly the match of any NFL dregs.  McVay (formerly offensive coordinator of the Redskins) takes over Ram head coaching chores of Jeff Fisher, with his main project the development of QB Jared Goff, hopefully into a franchise-type player.  And he seems to have improved, if the preseason is any indication.  Year ago, the Rams finished dead last in the NFL on "O", but a decent 9th in containing opponents.  Colts are 1-8 ATS in season openers, so we'll call this one just about on the spot. Seattle 30 - GREEN BAY 27 - (4:25) -- Since crushing NFL title loss to Seahawks in '14, the Packers have taken Seattle, 27-17 ('15), & 38-10 ('16).  Can they make it 3 straight?  Well, to start with, they do have the best QB in the NFL in Aaron Rodgers (40 TD passes, with only 7 picks LY), along with the addition of TE Bennett.  Green Bay covered 7 of its last 9 games LY, with only miss by a mere 2 pts, before that 44-21 NFL title loss to the Falcons.  The dog is 9-3 ATS in Seattle's last dozen regular season outings, and Carroll is 14-1 ATS as an avenging dog.  This one could be a classic, so a vote for the pup.  Call upset. Carolina 26 - SAN FRANCISCO 22 - (4:25) -- How can a team come from a Super Bowl appearance with a 17-2 record, to its division cellar in a year? Injuries.  The brilliance of Newton was negated by his shoulder injury which led to his placement at the bottom of NFC signal callers (just 19 TDs & 14 INTs LY).  Seven games of 17 pts or less in '16, after blitzing foes for 31 ppg in '15. The Niners are no gems, with current 1-14 SU run, along with a 3-10-1 ATS streak.  But acquisition of Shanahan has to help.  Yet another tight opening tilt. DALLAS 24 - New York Giants 23 - (8:30 - NBC) -- For the 5th time in 6 years, these 2 square off on Sunday Night Football to start the season.  The Giants have had the best of it of late, covering 5 straight vs the Cowboys, with Dallas just 2-6 ATS when hosting New York.  The last time we saw the 'Boys, Aaron broke their hearts in LY's Divisional game.  The Cowboys will have to go it without the league's top runner, as Elliott has been suspended for 6 gms.  QB Prescott returns (NFL's 3rd-ranked passer), but will he be as effective without Ezekiel?  Giant "D" returns intact, altho Eli may not have Odell (ankle).  To wire. MONDAY New Orleans 31 - MINNESOTA 27 - (7:10 - ESPN) -- Well, Adrian Peterson is back in Minneapolis, but this time as a Saint.  His addition just enhances N'awlins' running game, when added to the talents of RBs Ingram & Kamara.  Nice, but the possibility of a bit of friction has to be considered.  The Saints are a premier road team, with their current 8-1-1 ATS run as NFL travelers (only miss by just 3 pts).  And throw in the fact that the dog is on an 18-6-1 spread streak in Saint contests.  Minny's running game is actually stronger than LY, as rookie RB Dalvin Cook is the real deal.  Vikes are on a 3-8 SU slide, so Saints are the play. DENVER 26 - Los Angeles Chargers 23 - (10:20 - ESPN) -- Good-bye Super Bowl winning HC Gary Kubiak, & hello Vance Joseph for the Broncos.  Denver has a QB problem, with loss of Lynch (shoulder), so Siemian will start, thus the improved "O" line must do its job.  Addition of RB Jamaal Chargers can't hurt, & that Bronco "D" is always there.  Chargers have profitable 24-4 ATS record as RDs of 4+ pts, so no other way to go.  Battle of first-year head coaches, with



#29
Fecal Tornado

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^

 

just for info



#30
jasson621

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So we're taking the 5 worst teams from last year and hope they had a good offseason?

Thanks Boat...

lol


Sayeret Matkal


#31
Teddy kgb

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Set lines here now......

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2017
1 PATRIOTS* CHIEFS 9
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 10, 2017
3 BILLS* JETS 8.5
5 FALCONS BEARS* 6.5
7 TEXANS* JAGUARS 5
9 EAGLES REDSKINS* 1
11 CARDINALS LIONS* 2
13 TITANS* RAIDERS 2.5
15 BUCCANEERS DOLPHINS* PPD
17 BENGALS* RAVENS 2.5
19 STEELERS. BROWNS* 8.5
21 RAMS* COLTS 4
23 PACKERS* 1:25SEAHAWKS 3
25 PANTHERS 49ERS* 5.5
27 COWBOYS* GIANTS 4
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 11, 2017
29 VIKINGS* SAINTS 3
31 BRONCOS* CHARGERS 3
Like a BAUS....

#32
nothing but winners

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brick, good luck brother.......Get us rolling with a nice start..................



#33
Teddy kgb

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THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2017
1 PATRIOTS* CHIEFS +9

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 10, 2017
3 BILLS* JETS +8.5
5 FALCONS BEARS* +6.5
7 TEXANS* JAGUARS +5
9 EAGLES REDSKINS* +1
11 CARDINALS LIONS* +2
13 TITANS* RAIDERS +2.5
17 BENGALS* RAVENS +2.5
19 STEELERS BROWNS* +8.5
21 RAMS* COLTS +4
23 PACKERS* 1:2524 SEAHAWKS +3
25 PANTHERS 49ERS* +5.5
27 COWBOYS* GIANTS +4

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 11, 2017
29 VIKINGS* SAINTS +3
31 BRONCOS* CHARGERS +3
Like a BAUS....

#34
Brick

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8 jaguars

 

12 lions

 

17 bengals

 

28 giants

 

30 saints

 

if no objections these are my final picks......gulp



#35
Teddy kgb

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Plays have been sent to proxy
Like a BAUS....

#36
Brayden11

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Good luck Brick. Start off with a bang.

#37
Teddy kgb

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Bump
Like a BAUS....

#38
Brick

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Good luck Brick. Start off with a bang.

thanks brayden, still like all of my picks, hope to get off to a strong start.



#39
The Dark Man

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thanks brayden, still like all of my picks, hope to get off to a strong start.

 

Good work and good luck


Your face at first just ghostly, turned a whiter shade of pale


#40
Dingo

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Good luck
What ever you do don't post a picture of Leo,Brick
Upgraded to Bat Shit Crazy

#41
nothing but winners

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Lets get this brick................good luck



#42
TobyTyler

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I like it

#43
Brick

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lol dingo cant believe you mentiond leo in here, that might be enough by itself for an 0-5.  alot of pressure leading off, hoping for a nice 5-0 start but would take a 4-1.



#44
Teddy kgb

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Big balls going first Brick..... Boat tried to act tuff and then pussed out and pushed to last.....I'm so scared I went with the group vote .....

Last year only the winner started off week 1 5-0

Crazy finish also as he was two games back in week 17 but the person in front of him went 2-3 and he finished 5-0 how crazy is that......must of stung for the second place finisher...

1st place is well over a million bucks for the first time ever....

In resent years it has taken about a 61.5% win rate for 50th place which pays about 3k this year
Like a BAUS....

#45
Teddy kgb

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I wonder if we got off to a fast start that they would try to reach out to me to find out what TGF stands for......we'd get so many views the server would crash......Boat would be passing out McDonalds cupons like they were Halloween candy...
Like a BAUS....

#46
Brick

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I wondered what the deal with that was.  Thought i was going crazy because i saw i was 17th then all of a sudden im up first on the list.  Imagine how scared boat will get if we are in line for big money and he goes 0-5 the last week.  Will send him some hate mail for sure.



#47
Teddy kgb

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2-1 start....NYG +4 tonight and NOS +3Monday

4-1 would be so sweet but I'll take 3-2 every week
Like a BAUS....

#48
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sigh



#49
Brick

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Looks like your foul mouth might have cost us a 4-1 start lil ted!!

#50
Teddy kgb

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Looks like your foul mouth might have cost us a 4-1 start lil ted!!


Can I get this translated to the Kings English please....
Like a BAUS....




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