MonkeyF0cker Posted October 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 I'm solid......I don't post up Bullshit you don't. You're posting up for this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted October 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Fucking brokedick doesn't even have the $1k to post up. LOL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACH Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 He has to get permission and it ain't easy. Why are you doing this? You have maybe a 0.2% advantage on a game. 30 games is not worth anything. Reno Marty at least had odds with Gabe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted October 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 I've got about the same edge as a single wager. Maybe a bit higher. Depends on the games chosen really. Could be a lot higher (in the 10% range). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zzmocashzz Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Teddy you do know booze wears off don’t you? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy kgb Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Teddy you do know booze wears off don’t you?Once again......I don't care what Snowflakes say....go protest Milo at a college near you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Viejo Dinosaur Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Bullshit you don't. You're posting up for this.As much as I want to see Theodore go down, he is good for his wager.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted October 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 As much as I want to see Theodore go down, he is good for his wager.... Nope. Not dealing with him. I'll deal with KR. Don't care who vouches for him. If he's betting money he has, there shouldn't be a problem posting up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACH Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 I've got about the same edge as a single wager. Maybe a bit higher. Depends on the games chosen really. Could be a lot higher (in the 10% range).So you basically calculate your cumulative advantage on 30 games here as a 53-54% bet with the same money? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonkeyF0cker Posted October 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 So you basically calculate your cumulative advantage on 30 games here as a 53-54% bet with the same money? Yeah. At a minimum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACH Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Yeah. At a minimum.Well that's interesting. Thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVU Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 So you basically calculate your cumulative advantage on 30 games here as a 53-54% bet with the same money?You are too smart to get sucked into Monkeys bullshit. He doesn't have any advantage on plays he doesn't get to choose. He knows this but will pretend otherwise Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Downsouth Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 You are too smart to get sucked into Monkeys bullshit. He doesn't have any advantage on plays he doesn't get to choose. He knows this but will pretend otherwiseThat is a tough one. Plenty of games daily with no real "advantage" on either side. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVU Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 That is a tough one. Plenty of games daily with no real "advantage" on either side.let's hear Monkey explain why he has an advantage on a random play? He doesn't Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACH Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 You are too smart to get sucked into Monkeys bullshit. He doesn't have any advantage on plays he doesn't get to choose. He knows this but will pretend otherwiseWow. My IQ is up from 81. I am impressing here. Monkey worked as a programmer for the CBOE. His claimed advantage seems a bit high but he operates at higher level than other people. You are good at math but I doubt you come close to Monkey. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gabe Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 KR is picking the game? This is the worst contest ever. Terrible rule Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVU Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Wow. My IQ is up from 81. I am impressing here. Monkey worked as a programmer for the CBOE. His claimed advantage seems a bit high but he operates at higher level than other people. You are good at math but I doubt you come close to Monkey. He is full of shit even though he is good at math. If he thinks he has a 4% advantage on a random play he could and should be a billionaire. He isn't Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACH Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 He is full of shit even though he is good at math. If he thinks he has a 4% advantage on a random play he could and should be a billionaire. He isn'tMaybe. I was only interested in his idea behind the bet. He believes he has an advantage over Ted on any random game and believes he has it quantified. He then basically off the top of his head determined what his advantage would be with 30 games. I don't think you even have the slightest idea of how to get started with that kind of calculation. I don't think this is a good bet for Monkey. But he does gamble for a living. I don't think there is any reason to doubt that. He has put up a few losing bets but those are statistically insignificant and he is pursuing this as a math guy would. It is just one side bet in his overall bankroll and he feels it is a good one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVU Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Let's not forget Monkey, the poker pro, got destroyed in a heads up battle with a non pro regular guy (brick). Normally I wouldn't think much of this since it was only one match, but if you watched that go down you would have serious doubts that Monkey ever made any money playing poker. That was among the worst poker playing I have ever witnessed. If they had million dollar rolls, Brick would have taken every last dime from Monkey. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACH Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Let's not forget Monkey, the poker pro, got destroyed in a heads up battle with a non pro regular guy (brick). Normally I wouldn't think much of this since it was only one match, but if you watched that go down you would have serious doubts that Monkey ever made any money playing poker. That was among the worst poker playing I have ever witnessed. If they had million dollar rolls, Brick would have taken every last dime from Monkey.One poker match is meaningless. You have doubts about anyone that does something you can't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Downsouth Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Maybe. I was only interested in his idea behind the bet. He believes he has an advantage over Ted on any random game and believes he has it quantified. He then basically off the top of his head determined what his advantage would be with 30 games. I don't think you even have the slightest idea of how to get started with that kind of calculation. I don't think this is a good bet for Monkey. But he does gamble for a living. I don't think there is any reason to doubt that. He has put up a few losing bets but those are statistically insignificant and he is pursuing this as a math guy would. It is just one side bet in his overall bankroll and he feels it is a good one.Nothing against Monkey but to have a 3-4% advantage over Ted he would in theory need to be 53 to 54% on a random drawn out of hat play as Ted is 50/50 on any random coinflip. So if he is 53 to 54% against any lined number on the board then he literally has a license to print money at his leisure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACH Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Nothing against Monkey but to have a 3-4% advantage over Ted he would in theory need to be 53 to 54% on a random drawn out of hat play as Ted is 50/50 on any random coinflip. So if he is 53 to 54% against any lined number on the board then he literally has a license to print money at his leisure.It doesn't make sense to me. But I don't make a living betting on sports. I leave it to his judgment. I just came up with a great idea for a TGF contest. The Monkey Challenge. Each month Monkey takes on another person for 1K and at the end we find out if Monkey comes out ahead for the year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVU Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 One poker match is meaningless. You have doubts about anyone that does something you can't.lol. I can lose a grand to brick just as well as monkey can. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVU Posted October 18, 2017 Report Share Posted October 18, 2017 Nothing against Monkey but to have a 3-4% advantage over Ted he would in theory need to be 53 to 54% on a random drawn out of hat play as Ted is 50/50 on any random coinflip. So if he is 53 to 54% against any lined number on the board then he literally has a license to print money at his leisure.and he drives a Kia. Something doesn't add up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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