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Tampa Bay Downs- Winter 2017/Spring 2018


rdalert447
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Wednesday 12/13/17

Bradley has two today, so gonna play them both. The morning lines are a little low for him, but if the first two weeks are any indication, the prices should drift up. There's a couple of other trainers that I'll be playing this meet as well, just now getting an opportunity to finalize a game plan.

 

Race 3

$20 win #9 Up Your Cash 7/2

Maybe Martinez will save some ground for once?

 

Race 7

$20 win #2 Nice Not Nice 5-1

 

Record: 0 wins from 3 starts, -$68

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Friday 12/15/17

 

Playing three today:

 

Race 4

$20 win #8 Mach Trial 12-1

This trainer Arboritanza has a pretty sick ROI here the last two years. He seems to be getting bet early in the meet, so I might be jumping in too late, but I can't let him slide away at a big price. Starts a lot of horses but has a nice winning percentage as well. Hope we can squeeze one more meet out of him.

 

Race 7

$20 win #9 Woman Flyer 8-1

$2 ExBx 7-9

$2 DD 7,9/10

Sticking with Bradley. Win rate, ROI, and a couple other positives are too much to ignore after a slow start.

 

Race 8

$20 win # 10 Southernperfection 12-1

Arboritanza again. Solid numbers in claimers and dirt sprints.

 

Good luck, folks!

 

Record: 0 wins from 5 starts, -$108

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Saturday 12/23/17

Parx thread is in the negative, this thread is in the negative, and Gargan thread at EOG is negative. Something needs to turn around ASAP.

Sticking with Bradley and Arboritanza today. Their horses have shown some signs of life at big numbers. Just need a break, or two.....or three.

 

Race 3

$20 Win #4 Miss Scarlet Fever 20-1(Arboritanza)

 

Race 4

$20 Win #8 Nice Not Nice 20-1(Bradley)

 

Race 6

$20 Win #4 Sealed With A Kiss 20-1(Bradley)

 

Record: 0 wins from 9 starters, -$214

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Arboritanza horse ran a distant third at 22-1. I'm noticing a trend with both his and Bradley's horses. They're being kept incredibly wide and clear around turns. Too wide to seriously threaten. They're running well even with the bad trips, so might want to focus on their second time over the course entrants. We'll see how the rest of the card goes, then game plan accordingly.

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Wed 12/27/17

Played a four bagger from Arboritanza today. Race 1 entrant is going second over the course. Hope we get an odds drift on it:

 

Race 1

$20 Win #5 Mach Trial 4-1

 

Race 4

$20 Win #10 Don’t Sass Joe 8-1

$1 P3 10/7/4

$2 DD 10/7

 

Race 5

$20 Win #7 Barefoot Cove 4-1

$2 DD 7/4

 

Race 6

$20 Win #4 Victory Spell 30-1

 

-$274

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