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TommyL's 2018 World Cup


TommyL
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Behind schedule vs. the last few World Cups due to life getting in the way (new job, travel, coaching son's soccer team, kids in general).  Took some time off, but back into it over the past several weeks as I've been gearing up for Russia 2018 (the USA debacle probably contributed to my difficulty getting started with everything).  I should finish up my initial plays in the next few hours, and will throw them into this thread.

 

2017 Soccer Result at TGF:  +38.745 units (ROI: +15.9%) 

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I took everything from 5Dimes or Bookmaker. If you've got access to Pinnacle, some of these can be had for a better price.

Russia doesn't advance from Group A (+255 @ 5Dimes) 1.5 units to win 3.825 units
Egypt wins Group A (+575 @ 5Dimes) 1 unit to win 5.75 units
Iran advances from Group B (+700 @ 5Dimes) .5 units to win 3.5 units
Spain wins group B (-195 @ Bookmaker) 1.95 units to win 1 unit
Peru wins Group C (+1024 @ Bookmaker) .5 units to win 5.12 units
Peru advances from Group C (+220 @ 5Dimes) 2 units to win 4.4 units
Denmark doesn't win Group C (-590 @ 5Dimes) 2.36 units to win .4 units
Argentina wins Group D (-149 @ Bookmaker) 1.49 units to win 1 unit
Costa Rica wins Group E (+1998 @ Bookmaker) .2 units to win 3.996 units
Costa Rica advances from Group E (+400 @ 5Dimes) .5 units to win 2 units
Germany wins Group F (-235 @ Bookmaker) 2.35 units to win 1 unit
South Korea doesn't advance from Group F (-450 @ 5Dimes) 2.25 units to win .5 units
Panama advances from Group G (+1100 @ 5Dimes) .2 units to win 2.2 units
Belgium wins Group G (-115 @ Bookmaker) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Colombia wins Group H (+135 @ Bookmaker) 1 unit to win 1.35 units
Japan advances from Group H (+230 @ 5Dimes) 1.5 units to win 3.45 units
Poland doesn't advance from Group H (+150 @ 5Dimes) 2 units to win 3 units

Saudi Arabia/Russia under 2.5 (-134 @ 5Dimes) 2.68 units to win 2 units
Egypt +.5 Uruguay (+122 @ 5Dimes) 1 unit to win 1.22 units
Iran +.5 Morocco (-149 @ 5Dimes) 1.49 units to win 1 unit
Portugal/Spain over 2.5 (+132 @ 5Dimes) 1 unit to win 1.32 units
France -1.5 Australia (-130 @ 5Dimes) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units
Peru -.5 Denmark (+268 @ Bookmaker) 1 unit to win 2.68 units
Costa Rica +.5 Serbia (-115 @ 5Dimes) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Sweden -.5 South Korea (+118 @ 5Dimes) 1.5 units to win 1.77 units

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Two more futures...

Top Goalscorer - Timo Werner (+1600 @ 5Dimes) .4 units to win 6.4 units
Top Goalscorer - Mohamed Salah (+4000 @ 5Dimes) .15 units to win 6 units

 

Apologies in advance to both of them as I just increased their risk of injury over the next 60 days...

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I got a lot of this at +110, +108, +107, +105

 

I really don't like Uruguay that much, but Russia is ridiculously over-valued, Saudi Arabia is crap, and I'm coming to grips with the fact that I burned $ playing Egypt (especially if this injury is at all serious, which it looked like it could have been).  Hopefully Morocco gets as lucky as Russia with their draw in 2026...

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