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TommyL's 2018 World Cup


TommyL
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Some more World Cup Futures...

Germany will reach the Semifinal (+107) 1.5 units to win 1.605 units
Croatia won't reach Quarterfinal (-255) 2.55 units to win 1 unit
Germany is Highest Scoring Team (+450) .5 units to win 2.25 units
South Korea is Lowest scoring Team (+1200) .5 units to win 6 units
Russia is Lowest Scoring Team (+6600) .1 units to win 6.6 units

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Most likely no more plays on friendlies heading into the big event next week. Here is everything I have pending heading into the World Cup...

Russia doesn't advance from Group A (+255) 1.5 units to win 3.825 units
Russia under 5.5 points (-127) 1.27 units to win 1 unit
Egypt wins Group A (+575) 1 unit to win 5.75 units
Uruguay to win Group A (-105) 1.575 units to win 1.5 units
Iran advances from Group B (+700) .5 units to win 3.5 units
Spain wins group B (-195) 1.95 units to win 1 unit
Morocco under 2.5 points (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units
Peru wins Group C (+1024) .5 units to win 5.12 units
Peru advances from Group C (+220) 2 units to win 4.4 units
Denmark doesn't win Group C (-590) 2.36 units to win .4 units
Denmark under 3.5 points (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
Argentina wins Group D (-149) 1.49 units to win 1 unit
Costa Rica wins Group E (+1998) .2 units to win 3.996 units
Costa Rica advances from Group E (+400) .5 units to win 2 units
Costa Rica over 1.5 points (-113) 1.13 units to win 1 unit
Germany wins Group F (-235) 2.35 units to win 1 unit
South Korea doesn't advance from Group F (-450) 2.25 units to win .5 units
South Korea under 2.5 points (-137) 2.055 units to win 1.5 units
Panama advances from Group G (+1100) .2 units to win 2.2 units
Belgium wins Group G (-115) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Colombia wins Group H (+135) 1 unit to win 1.35 units
Japan advances from Group H (+230) 1.5 units to win 3.45 units
Poland doesn't advance from Group H (+150) 2 units to win 3 units
Poland under 4.5 points (-109) 1.09 units to win 1 unit

Saudi Arabia/Russia under 2.5 (-134) 2.68 units to win 2 units
Egypt +.5 Uruguay (+122) 1 unit to win 1.22 units
Iran +.5 Morocco (-149) 1.49 units to win 1 unit
Portugal/Spain over 2.5 (+132) 1 unit to win 1.32 units
France -1.5 Australia (-130) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units
Peru -.5 Denmark (+268) 1 unit to win 2.68 units
Peru +.5 Denmark (-128) 1.28 units to win 1 unit
Costa Rica +.5 Serbia (-115) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Sweden -.5 South Korea (+118) 1.5 units to win 1.77 units
Egypt/Russia under 2 (+116) 1 unit to win 1.16 units
Portugal -.5 Morocco (-155) 1.55 units to win 1 unit
Portugal -1 Morocco (+125) 1 unit to win 1.25 units
Argentina -.5 Croatia (-108) 1.08 units to win 1 unit
Colombia E Poland (-138) 2.76 units to win 2 units

Top Goalscorer - Timo Werner (+1600) .4 units to win 6.4 units
Top Goalscorer - Mohamed Salah (+4000) .15 units to win 6 units
Best European Team - Germany (+275) 1 unit to win 2.75 units
Best Asian Team - Saudi Arabia (+1000) .5 units to win 5 units
Best CONCACAF Team - Costa Rica (+325) 1 unit to win 3.25 units
Portugal to reach the Semifinal (+420) 1 unit to win 4.2 units
Portugal to reach the Quarters (+130) 1 unit to win 1.3 units
Germany will reach the Semifinal (+107) 1.5 units to win 1.605 units
Croatia won't reach Quarterfinal (-255) 2.55 units to win 1 unit
Germany is Highest Scoring Team (+450) .5 units to win 2.25 units
South Korea is Lowest scoring Team (+1200) .5 units to win 6 units
Russia is Lowest Scoring Team (+6600) .1 units to win 6.6 units

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The rest of my plays as Thursday approaches. Should be it (already have almost 3/4ths of my bankroll in play), unless something really moves into range (though I'm sure I'll have some props on individual games)...

Russia under 5 total goals (-140) 1.4 units to win 1 unit
Colombia over 5 total goals (-130) 1.3 units to win 1 unit
Morocco last in Group B (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
Croatia last in Group D (+640) .5 units to win 3.2 units
Switzerland last in Group E (+350) .5 units to win 1.75 units
South Korea last in Group F (-130) 1.3 units to win 1 unit
Total Tournament Corner Kicks - Over 660.5 (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units
Total Tournament Bookings - Under 230.5 (+135) 1 unit to win 1.35 units

Mexico -.5 South Korea (-116) 1.74 units to win 1.5 units
Peru -.5 Australia (+110) 1 unit to win 1.1 units

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Will end up with a bunch of "no actions", but all are mispriced...

 

Artem Dzyuba no goals scored (-170)   1.7 units to win 1 unit
Aleksei-Miranchuk no goals scored (-240)   1.2 units to win .5 units
Denis Cheryshev no goals scored (-325)  1.625 units to win .5 units
Aleksandr Erokhin no goals scored (-485)  1.455 units to win .3 units
Anton-Miranchuk no goals scored (-550)  1.65 units to win .3 units
Muhannad Asiri no goals scored (-925)  1.85 units to win .2 units

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Really? They aren’t even the best team.

 

 

lol, they'll be favorites in every single game

 

Will end up with a bunch of "no actions", but all are mispriced...

 

Artem Dzyuba no goals scored (-170)   1.7 units to win 1 unit

Aleksei-Miranchuk no goals scored (-240)   1.2 units to win .5 units

Denis Cheryshev no goals scored (-325)  1.625 units to win .5 units

Aleksandr Erokhin no goals scored (-485)  1.455 units to win .3 units

Anton-Miranchuk no goals scored (-550)  1.65 units to win .3 units

Muhannad Asiri no goals scored (-925)  1.85 units to win .2 units

 

 

damn, really should have picked up at 5dimes for this

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Will end up with a bunch of "no actions", but all are mispriced...

 

Artem Dzyuba no goals scored (-170)   1.7 units to win 1 unit LOSS

Aleksei-Miranchuk no goals scored (-240)   1.2 units to win .5 units NO ACTION

Denis Cheryshev no goals scored (-325)  1.625 units to win .5 units LOSS

Aleksandr Erokhin no goals scored (-485)  1.455 units to win .3 units NO ACTION

Anton-Miranchuk no goals scored (-550)  1.65 units to win .3 units NO ACTION

Muhannad Asiri no goals scored (-925)  1.85 units to win .2 units NO ACTION

-Tony

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why is that no action?  was it supposed to be -9250 or something??

 

Muhannad Asiri no goals scored (-925)  1.85 units to win .2 units

 

That one had action.  I made the comment because a bunch of the guys obviously wouldn't get into the game, and those plays only have action if someone gets onto the field. 

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Can't go worse than yesterday, goes in 10 minutes...

Andre Silva no goals scored (-440) 1.76 units to win .4 units
Gelson Martins no goals scored (-900) 1.8 units to win .2 units
Ricardo Quaresma no goals scored (-800) 1.6 units to win .2 units
Marco Asensio no goals scored (-600) 1.2 units to win .2 units
Iago Aspas no goals scored (-300) 1.2 units to win .4 units
Rodrigo Moreno no goals scored (-230) 1.15 units to win .5 units

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Some more plays...

France HT/France FT (-115) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Saudi Arabia +2.5 Uruguay (-134) 2.01 units to win 1.5 units
Spain/Iran under 2.5, 3 (-111) 1.11 units to win 1 unit
Best Asian Team - Iran (+300) 1 unit to win 3 units

 

Can't wait for tomorrow, 8 hours of soccer followed by tailgating and a concert (with the US Open mixed in).  Best day ever.

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Can't wait for tomorrow, 8 hours of soccer followed by tailgating and a concert (with the US Open mixed in).  Best day ever.

 

My daughter:  "what are we doing on father's day?"

 

me: "i'm watching 6 hours of soccer and then the end of the US Open"

 

Her:  "i'm not doing that"

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