WMtribe17 Posted November 10, 2018 Report Share Posted November 10, 2018 Now that college bball has started, I will try and get my plays in this thread as often as I can. Predicted order of finish for teams: 1) Northeastern - Well balanced team with a really good PG in Pusica. Pretty much returned everybody that contributed from last year's team that should have won the CAA tourney if they didn't choke the last couple minutes against C of C.2) Charleston - Still have a good 1-2 punch with Riller and Brantley, but will be tough replacing Chealey and Cam Johnson (very good defensive player that often was assigned to opposing team's top guard). Should still be a good defensive team.3) W&M - Last year's problem of having 0 depth shouldn't be as much of a problem this year, as they had a strong recruiting class. Success of the team will come down to PG play (tough replacing Cohn) and defense. The team has a lot of size, and now that they have depth, I expect at least some improvement on defense.4) Hofstra - Still have Wright-Foreman, Pemberton, and a strong guard-oriented lineup, but now have to replace big man Gustys. If they can get some production out of their bigs and learn how to play a little bit of defense, they can contend for 1st place.5) JMU - Really like what JMU has on their team this year - coaching is still a big question mark and learning to win close games at the end of a game plagued them last year, but their pressure defense and speed can create problems for other teams in the conference.6) UNCW - Cacok is very good and they brought in a lot of transfers. Like W&M, they will also have to replace a very good point guard to graduation. Will probably be good next season.7) Delaware - Losing Daly really hurt this team, but they still have some decent pieces and Ingelsby is an underrated coach IMO. They will get 1 or 2 upsets in conference play.8) Towson - Losing Zane Martin was a back breaker and also had a couple of other key pieces graduate. They are still a physical team that can rebound well.9) Elon - Were terrible last year and lost a couple of good players. Still have some good scorers, but they aren't talented enough offensively to make up for their terrible defense.10) Drexel - Losing Isabell was a back breaker as well and will be tough to replace the points he scored. I could see any team 1-4 winning the regular season and expect 7-10 to be the bottom 4. 11/10 plays: 721 W&M Duquesne OVER 151 - 1.65 to win 1.5721 W&M ML (+145) - 1 to win 1.45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2018 1-1, +0.5 W&M needs to find somebody that can run the point... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2018 11/11 Hofstra Marshall OVER 168 - 2.2 to win 2Rutgers -12 - 1.1 to win 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2018 Adding: Marshall -5.5 (2H) - 0.55 to win 0.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 12, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 12, 2018 2-1, -0.73-2, -0.2 Marshall and Hofstra had a ton of open shots, but just couldn't buy a bucket in the 2nd half. Both teams had a stretch of 6 minutes without scoring a point in the 2nd half.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2018 11/17 Florida Atlantic -2.5 - 1.65 to win 1.5Drexel +11 - 0.55 to win 0.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2018 2-0, +2.0 overall: 5-2, +1.8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 20, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 20, 2018 11/20 Citadel JMU UNDER 163.5 - 1.1 to win 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trytrytry Posted November 20, 2018 Report Share Posted November 20, 2018 166 now Triber. this looks time to pounce Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 20, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 20, 2018 166 now Triber. this looks time to pounceGuessing people are betting over based on perceived tempo and citadels defense being awful. Neither offense is very efficient and jmu's pressure defense forces teams to eat clock before crossing half court. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 20, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 20, 2018 Keeping an eye on whether Justin pierce plays for WM tonight or not. If he does, I like the 2.5 for WM. They have looked better than their 1-3 record. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trytrytry Posted November 20, 2018 Report Share Posted November 20, 2018 keep up posted Triber! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 20, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 20, 2018 Adding: Radford ML +105 - 2 to win 2.1 - 2 of W&M's top 3 players are out (Pierce and Milon), and that isn't even counting their 4th best scorer who got injured before the season started...Radford W&M UNDER 148 - 1.1 to win 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 21, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 21, 2018 1-2, -0.1 6-4, +1.7 I need a beer after losing the JMU under. 55 1st half points between the teams, and about 115 combined 2nd half and OT points. Really bad loss for JMU, but Citadel deserves some credit as they didn't turn the ball over much at all against JMU's press. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trytrytry Posted November 21, 2018 Report Share Posted November 21, 2018 166 now Triber. this looks time to pounce damn that was a free win the easy way. until that miracle OT situation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 23, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2018 11/23 JMU Oakland OVER 143 - 1.65 to win 1.5UNC-Wilmington -4.5 - 1.65 to win 1.5UNC-Greensboro -5 - 1.1 to win 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sleepy Posted November 23, 2018 Report Share Posted November 23, 2018 Oakland is playing way slower than last year and outside of the game against Toledo they have sucked on offense. If JMU could only get to 142 in regulation against Citadel not sure why you would want to play this over. I looked really hard at under but need some more time to think about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 23, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2018 Oakland is playing way slower than last year and outside of the game against Toledo they have sucked on offense. If JMU could only get to 142 in regulation against Citadel not sure why you would want to play this over. I looked really hard at under but need some more time to think about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 23, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2018 Total in the 140s vs the 160s is a huge difference for me. Low 140s only requires 70ish possessions for each team to hit with average offenses against average or worse defenses. 160s either requires 80+ possessions for avg. Offenses or mid 70s for very good offenses. I know Oakland offense isn't great, but their defense is still very bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 23, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2018 1 more UAB ML +145 - 0.5 to win 0.725 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sleepy Posted November 23, 2018 Report Share Posted November 23, 2018 Total in the 140s vs the 160s is a huge difference for me. Low 140s only requires 70ish possessions for each team to hit with average offenses against average or worse defenses. 160s either requires 80+ possessions for avg. Offenses or mid 70s for very good offenses. I know Oakland offense isn't great, but their defense is still very bad. good call i pass on the under but found other games to lose on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 23, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2018 good call i pass on the under but found other games to lose onDidn't watch the game, but seems I lucked out. Think the total was at 114 with about 5 minutes left before garbage time points started kicking in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMtribe17 Posted November 24, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 24, 2018 3-1, +3.5 Overall: 9-5, +5.2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sleepy Posted November 24, 2018 Report Share Posted November 24, 2018 Those guys for the Tribe are probably out again. I bet the -3.5 at BOL yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trytrytry Posted November 24, 2018 Report Share Posted November 24, 2018 great thread here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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