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Tampa Bay Downs Winter 2018/Spring 2019


rdalert447
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Sunday 1/20/19

 

Will try and turn this around with a five bagger. I’ll probably play until down around $2500, then take the loss if there’s no ray of light....

 

Race 1

$20 win #4 Perp 4-1

Gonna blame last out on the terrible post. Got hung six wide on both turns. Those outside posts are killers here for stalkers and closers, unless your name is Chad Brown.

 

Race 4

$20 win #7 Hechicera 20-1

$2 DD 7-10

Horse has some real gate troubles, but if Ochoa can straighten those out might see this one win at a huge price. Two back was very competitive after a bad start, at 120-1. Ochoa’s proven the last three years he can hit 10% here and still have huge ROI. Gotta stick with him.

 

Race 5

$20 win #10 Early Deligh 6-1

$2 Ex 10/ALL

Looking for two in a row after scoring last out at Gulf, at 25-1. Two month layoff, so hopefully Ochoa has a trick up his sleeve.

 

Race 8

$20 win #5 King Tide 20-1

$2 DD 5-6

Will stick with Arboritanza’s third starts of the meet types. Hasn’t detonated yet, but I don’t want to miss out. Move to Coa tells me the trainer wants the horse handled a little more aggressively at the start.

 

Race 9

$20 win #6 Native Hawk 6-1

$2 Ex 6/ALL

Looking for a late day bailout from a 9 month layoff type probably isn’t the soundest game plan, but gotta keep the faith in Gonzalez’ ROI. Competitive races here last year. Hope for more of the same.

 

4-62, -$1747

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Wednesday 1/23/19

 

Race 3

$20 win #2 Mast Cove 12-1

$2 ExBx 2-8

.50c tri 2,8/ALL/2,8

A couple big names in here, so I expect these two local trainers to get ignored, but both Riggatieri and Bennett are having fine meets. Sided with Riggatieri off the 6 month layoff. His layoff stats are decent, and Bennet't's longer ones don't seem to get there.

 

Race 6

$20 win #6 Doodle Hopper 6-1

$2 ExBx 3-6

$1 p3 3,6/5/ALL

Riggatieri again. Liked this horse's chances last out against tougher, but got banged out of the gate losing all chance. Doubt we see the 6-1.

 

Race 7

$20 win #5 Wicked a Boy 20-1

$2 ExBx 5/6,2

$1 p3 5,6/ALL//1

Raymond has been awfully quiet since a 13-1 winner opening week. Guy's numbers are too good to ignore at this price.

 

Race 8

$20 win #1 Emerson's Queen 6-1

$2 ExBx 1/4,9

.50c tri 1,9/ALL/1,9

Deaton has fantastic ROI off the long layoff, while not starting many horses. Gotta pay attention when he shows up.

 

5-67, -$1434

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Saturday 1/26/18

 

Race 5

$20 win #3 Glamorous Thunder 12-1

$2 Ex 3/ALL

$2DD 3/3,7

Ubide has good ROI with quick wheelback sand turnbacks. This horse is borderline on both, with a 17 day return and a half furlong turnback. Good enough for me at that price.

 

Race 6

$20 win #7 At the Ready 10-1

$2 exbx 3-7

.50c tri 3,7/All/3,7

Lopez has great ROI in turf routes, gives him the nod over the Arboritanza longshot.

 

Race 9

$20 win #4 Grand Nenuco 4-1

Ochoa’s been a disappointment, but I’ll stick with him awhile longer. Not with confidence, though.

 

6-73, -$1491

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I was not around today but I know I would have bet "Whiskey Train" for his name alone with your #7 "At the Ready" horse in an exacta box but looks like a tough day for you rd. Hang in these. I took the day off from jai alai  and would have hit my first two games for trifectas! I never seem to do anything right with all this shit. Haha loseritus sucks.

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Sun 1/27/18

 

Played three:

 

Race 3

$20 win#6 My Computer 3-1

$1 P3 3,6/ALL/6

Ochoa. Will look to wire.

 

Race 6

$20 win #6 Mulled Wine 6-1

$2 Ex 6/ALL

Sticking with Aldana Gonzalez and that Spieth fvcker.

 

Race 10

$20 win #9 Classic Run 30-1

$2 Ex 9/ALL

Ochoa longball. Although not sure how long after scratches.

 

Mulled Wine is R5 btw....

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Wednesday 01/30/19

 

Race 4

$20 win #2 JP Hellish 15-1

$2 Exbx 2-5

$2 DD 2,5/1

.50c tri 2,5/ALL/2,5

$1 P3 2,5/1/ALL

Arboritanza and Granitz both entered here. Granitz is hot, Arbo isn’t, but I want to be on board when he finally breaks out.

 

Race 5

$20 win #1 Polygram 6-1

$2 Ex 1/ALL

$1 P3 1/ALL/2,5,6

Raymond been a little quiet as well, but can’t ignore his numbers last three meets.

 

I’ll be back later for the seventh. Lotta possibilities in there...

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