Mike75 Posted May 21, 2019 Report Share Posted May 21, 2019 THIS IS THE 2019 NFL POST DRAFT WIN/LOSS TOTALS FOR EACH TEAM IN BOLD IS THE TEAM, FOLLOWED BY THE OVER FIRST, THE UNDER IS LAST WESTGATE/VEGAS ODDS ARIZONA 5 (-120) 5 (+100) ATLANTA 8.5 (-120) 8.5 (+100) BALTIMORE 8.5 (+100) 8.5 (-120) BUFFALO 6.5 (-160) 6.5 (+140) CAROLINA 8 (+100) 8 (-120) CHICAGO 9 (-120) 9 (+100) CINCINNATI 6 (-130) 6 (+110) CLEVELAND 9 (-130) 9 (+110) DALLAS 9 (+100) 9 (-120) DENVER 7 (-110) 7 (-110) DETROIT 6.5 (-130) 6.5 (+110) GREEN BAY 9 (-110) 9 (-110) HOUSTON 8.5 (+110) 8.5 (-130) INDY 9.5 (-150) 9.5 (+130) JACKSONVILLE 8 (+100) 8 (-120) KANSAS CITY 10.5 (+100) 10.5 (-120) LA CHARGERS 9.5 (-140) 9.5 (+120) LA RAMS 10.5 (+110) 10.5 (-130) MIAMI 5 (+110) 5 (-130) MINNESOTA 9 (+100) 9 (-120) NEW ENGLAND 11 (-140) 11 (+120) NEW ORLEANS 10.5 (-110) 10.5 (-110) NY GIANTS 6 (+100) 6 (-120) NY JETS 7.5 (-110) 7.5 (-110) OAKLAND 6 (-110) 6 (-110) PHILLY 9.5 (-150) 9.5 (+130) PITTSBURGH 9 (-110) 9 (-110) SAN FRANCISCO 8 (-120) 8 (+100) SEATTLE 8.5 (-120) 8.5 (+100) TAMPA BAY 6.5 (+100) 6.5 (-120) TENNESSEE 8 (+100) 8 (-120) WASHINGTON 6.5 (+110) 6.5 (-130) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike75 Posted May 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 21, 2019 Here is what i would bet if i had the moolah right now and i were wagering........ #`1-Indy OVER 9.5(+130) .... I would hammer the shit out of the over and i dont like the Colts at all they are division rivals who i know very well. They will win at least 10 games with a healthy Luck no question about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike75 Posted May 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 21, 2019 So i'm thinking i would bet 5 times on the Indy OVER(+130) which would be $500 IF it is a winner i'd make.....$1150 if i am correct. 230x5=1150 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted May 21, 2019 Report Share Posted May 21, 2019 ..............you would profit 650 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike75 Posted May 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 21, 2019 ..............you would profit 650 Correct. You'll like my second choice...... I meant to tell you sometime next year i am planning a trip out west since my brother lives in Tempe,Arizona. I would love to hear some good advice on the best casinos to go to on the strip and would also love to meet some of you guys out there as well. I am as laidback and easy going in person as i am here online. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike75 Posted May 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 21, 2019 #2--Green Bay OVER 9 (-110) Betting 5x would cost $550 and if you won.....$210x5.....$1050 for a profit of $500 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike75 Posted May 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 21, 2019 I am very methodical and careful when i bet. I can take 100 bucks and win 300 or 400 bucks and i dont bet again for a while. I mainly bet small but with these totals even as careful as i am i make sure its just 1 or 2 teams i know with little doubt will win. I love betting dogs/horses mainly exactas and trifectas. I won 400 dollars on an exacta at Wheeling Downs a couple months back. I think i spent around 15 bucks when i hit and thats the last time i did any betting. The one thing i do really well is knowing when to step back and chill and not bet for a period of time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FairWarning Posted May 22, 2019 Report Share Posted May 22, 2019 I would like to play the Minn over 9 but Cousins scares me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike75 Posted May 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 22, 2019 I would like to play the Minn over 9 but Cousins scares me. Same here. In fact some might think i am crazy but i think the decision to sign Cousins is gonna end up costing Minnesota big time. In fact they would've done much better to bring in a cheaper vet QB like Keenum or draft another QB like Bridgewater. 2 bad things are happening in Minnesota, First Cousins is getting the lions share of the cap and the Vikes cant sign extra free agents especially costly ones and they will have issues redoing contracts with their own players. Last but not least i read somewhere that Cousins was a stat guy more than a win guy because he will always throw for 300 yards and a couple TD's and at the end of the year he will look good overall with around 35 TD's and 4500 yards and a beautiful completion percentage around 70% but its all a mirage. Cousins at one point was one of the least clutch QB's in the NFL consistently losing close games due to either turnovers or simply not getting it done. For example last year he lost to Buffalo at home ,the 27-6 loss was due to 3 fumbles and an interception all the turnovers led to short easy scores for Buffalo. A 25-20 loss to Chicago was due to Cousins losing the game on a pick 6 interception for Bears TD. Also last but not least in a game vs New Orleans the score is 20-13 and the Saints lead by 7 with Vikings driving into Saints territory trying to tie the game late in the 3rd quarter when Cousins throws a pick 6 interception that goes 50 yards for a score and so that was the dagger that killed them in that one. The 8-7-1 Vikings lost 3 games Buffalo,Chicago and New Orleans due to Cousins turnovers. If he would've won at least 1 of those 3 games the Vikings wouldve been in the postseason. The Vikings signed Cousins to lead them into the postseason and instead he was the reason they werent in. The year before in Washington he lost several close games due to turnovers. At 4-4 and trying to get ahead in the division race the Skins played Minnesota and Cousins threw a interception in his own territory leading to an easy Vikes score and close loss for Skins by one TD. The very next week the Vikes could've beat the Saints and were in FG territory with time running out when Cousins fumbles on the last play in regulation. Vikes lose by a FG in OT. Then in the last game of the season vs the worst team in the NFL the 2 win Giants that Cousins throws 3 interceptions with 2 that will lead to easy scores and the Giants upset the Skins by a TD. Again 3 close games that were lost due to turnovers. Skins finish 7-9 couldve easily been 10-6. So 2 straight years i see a continuous trend of Cousins putting up great numbers but eventually when it comes down to close games he is not clutch and shits the bed costing his team a playoff spot both years. In 2018 he had 1 fourth quarter comeback and 0 game winning drives. Fools gold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FairWarning Posted May 22, 2019 Report Share Posted May 22, 2019 I agree with your take on Cousins. I’ve always followed his career as he knocked out my brothers HS team in the playoffs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FISHHEAD Posted May 22, 2019 Report Share Posted May 22, 2019 I agree with your take on Cousins. I’ve always followed his career as he knocked out my brothers HS team in the playoffs.Big Hawkeye fan!!! His wife grew up roughly 30 from where I grew up and where I was born...………..FORT DODGE, IOWA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike75 Posted May 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 23, 2019 I agree with your take on Cousins. I’ve always followed his career as he knocked out my brothers HS team in the playoffs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sharp Square Posted May 23, 2019 Report Share Posted May 23, 2019 I can't bring myself to bet it since I hope i'm very wrong but after the way the season ended last year for the Saints I just think its gonna be hard to bounce back from and I wouldn't be surprised to see them stay under that 10.5 wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike75 Posted May 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 23, 2019 So far i have..... #`1-Indy OVER 9.5(+130) ....Bet 5X on Indy OVER(+130) would be $500. 230x5=1150. 650 profit if win INDY is my one bet i'd say is a lock. I'd wager much more if i could. Lets say.....20 times. That would be 2000. 230x20=4600. 2600 profit if win The other bets below i would bet if i could but the only one i am very serious about is INDY above..... #2--Green Bay OVER 9 (-110)....Bet 5x on GB OVER(-110) would be $550, 210x5=1050. $500 profit if win #3--Atlanta OVER 8.5 (+100)....Bet 5x on ATL OVER(+100) would be 500. 200x5=1000. 500 profit if win #4--L.A. Rams UNDER 10.5 (+110)...Bet 5x on LAR UNDER(+110) be $500. 210x5=1050. 550 profit if win #5--Tennessee OVER 8 (-120)....Bet 5x on TN OVER(-120) would be $600, 220x5=1100. 500 profit if win #6--Arizona OVER 5 (+100)....Bet 5x on AZ OVER(+100) would be 500. 200X5=1000. 500 profit if win #7--L.A. Chargers OVER 9.5 (+120)...Bet 5x on LAC OVER(+120) would be 500. 220X5=1100. 600 profit if win These are my wagers i'd love to do if i were able. I plan on doing some of these hopefully.... If i had 1 i would bet the house on i would say INDY. INDY is the only one i'd say is a 100% lock..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike75 Posted May 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 23, 2019 I can't bring myself to bet it since I hope i'm very wrong but after the way the season ended last year for the Saints I just think its gonna be hard to bounce back from and I wouldn't be surprised to see them stay under that 10.5 wins. As long as Brees is under center they are fine, At worst i'd say 10 wins,very worst 9 New Orleans SaintsSept. 9 Houston Texans (Mon) 7:10Sept. 15 at Los Angeles Rams 4:25Sept. 22 at Seattle Seahawks 4:25Sept. 29 Dallas Cowboys 8:20Oct. 6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Oct. 13 at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Oct. 20 at Chicago Bears 4:25Oct. 27 Arizona Cardinals 1:00ByeNov. 10 Atlanta Falcons 1:00Nov. 17 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Nov. 24 Carolina Panthers 1:00Nov. 28 at Atlanta Falcons (Thanksgiving) 8:20Dec. 8 San Francisco 49ers 1:00Dec. 16 Indianapolis Colts (Mon) 8:15Dec. 22 at Tennessee Titans 1:00Dec. 29 at Carolina Panthers 1:00 Hardest part is very first and very last of schedule. You should beat the Texans but they are pesky and can hang with anyone. At Rams i think the Saints win this one there will be a huge chip on their shoulders after what happened in the NFC title game. At Seattle even though the defense is no longer the best they are still solid. Will be a tight one. Dallas is solid as well. Another tight one. Thats the early part. Next the last part of schedule. At Atlanta on Thanksgiving will be tough. You will have a home game vs 49ers Jimmy G you should win this one. Indy at home on a Monday night Brees vs Luck this is one i want to see and i'll warn you Indy is tough. At Tennessee the thing that killed Tennessee wont kill them this year and thats the problem of their best QB getting hurt while the team is in the playoff hunt. If Mariota gets hurt again they have better insurance in Ryan Tannehill the former Dolphins starter is now Titans backup. Anyway the Titans have a top 10 defense and could have Jeffery Simmons their hurt 1st round pick playing by then, they also drafted offensive weapons like AJ Brown a first round caliber WR and signed free agent Adam Humphries who you should be familiar with. Last time the Saints/Titans went to OT. Finally last game at Carolina which all depends on if the Panthers are already done for the year or if they are fighting for a playoff spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FairWarning Posted May 23, 2019 Report Share Posted May 23, 2019 NO would need a lot of things to go right to hit over 10.5 with that schedule. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sharp Square Posted May 24, 2019 Report Share Posted May 24, 2019 NO would need a lot of things to go right to hit over 10.5 with that schedule. I think its a fairly tough one as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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