Timely Hitting Posted March 18, 2015 Report Share Posted March 18, 2015 I'll start this off by saying I had my worst year since I started betting college basketball - ended up with a loss on the season for the first time in a long time; I noticed many had the same outcome. That said, last year I had a great year and a horrible tournament ATS - did hit the winner, saving my tournament - so maybe, this year it will be reversed and I will have a shitty season and a great tournament. I think my numbers are still pretty efficient, I just think I reacted slowly this - not making the necessary adjustments in time. For starters, I have the following futures already locked in: SMU: +5000 UNC: +1500 Duke: +1050 (Only one of these that I bet that now has value is Duke) I added the following yesterday: Iowa: +22500 Maryland: +8000 Texas: +12500 Okie State: +42500 These are the sides I played for the 1st round: Ga State +9 Texas -1 1/2 SMU -4 VCU +4 New Mexico St +10 1/2 Okie State +1 1/2 I may add more later. What do you like? What are you on? What are your thoughts? Good luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach Taylor Posted March 18, 2015 Report Share Posted March 18, 2015 3/19 Utah -6.5 Xavier -3 Georgetown -7.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bookbraker Posted March 18, 2015 Report Share Posted March 18, 2015 I like UCLA +4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigBill365 Posted March 18, 2015 Report Share Posted March 18, 2015 the past 2 years ive been doing favorite parlays for the 1st and 2nd round and both years i have easily tripled and quadrupled my bankroll i plan on doing the same this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timely Hitting Posted March 18, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 18, 2015 3/19 Utah -6.5 Xavier -3 Georgetown -7.5 I lean Utah as well - I'm on the fence with them. I may still end up playing that game. We're on the opposite Braker - I love PG's and coaching in the tournament, which is why I love SMU - one of the best PG's in the country and one of the best coaches in the country. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanks Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 Sdst-2 Utah -6.5 Texas ml Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasson621 Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 e wash +8 nd ov 141 kenty ov 134.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timely Hitting Posted March 19, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 e wash +8 nd ov 141 kenty ov 134.5 I really like the Eastern Washington ML but for some reason am not as big of a fan of the +8. I know it makes no sense, but it's one of the weird circumstances for me where their ML number (which is right in line with the spread here) is valued as a + for me but the spread values out as a spot on at 51/49 so no value. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 Vcu large Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasson621 Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 I really like the Eastern Washington ML but for some reason am not as big of a fan of the +8. I know it makes no sense, but it's one of the weird circumstances for me where their ML number (which is right in line with the spread here) is valued as a + for me but the spread values out as a spot on at 51/49 so no value. makes sense they either are a perfect storm kind of team and win outright or cant hang and get smashed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 I really like the Eastern Washington ML but for some reason am not as big of a fan of the +8. I know it makes no sense, but it's one of the weird circumstances for me where their ML number (which is right in line with the spread here) is valued as a + for me but the spread values out as a spot on at 51/49 so no value. which money line # has value to you? i'm on georgetown -340... if you think the +320 has value then e wash would have to win 1 out of every 4 times. 2 of those 4 they are going to lose by more than the spread, so you think half the times that they cover +8 they win outright? that's nutty Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach Taylor Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 Eastern Wash is gonna get their tits licked tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maron Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 UAB +14 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasson621 Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 Eastern Wash is gonna get their tits licked tonight. is that good or bad? lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach Taylor Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 is that good or bad? lol It means they're gonna get their asses handed to them lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Man Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 715 Xavier -3 and O 145 vs. Ole Miss 735 E. Wash vs. Georgetown O 147.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timely Hitting Posted March 19, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 Mike, I find it more likely that they'll win one out of 4 of these matchups than I do that they'd cover 8 points 2 or more out of every 4 games - if that makes sense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smoke Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 3 Team IF WIN ONLY bet Iowa State -14 Baylor -8 Texas -2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seanie Mac Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 I love VCU +4 and Lafayette +23 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 Mike' date=' I find it more likely that they'll win one out of 4 of these matchups than I do that they'd cover 8 points 2 or more out of every 4 games - if that makes sense.[/quote'] it makes sense if you think they'll get blown out a lot of the time. shows how the gut is involved, my gut tells me class will prevail even if it's not in a landslide Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deemer Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 Georgetown Black Coach , fade? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timely Hitting Posted March 19, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 Gonna be rooting for Northeastern to embarrass ND. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maron Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 tv having problems auto correcting for all the gingers on Northeastern.. Seriously how does the ND coach have a job 15 years with a 6-11 tourney record Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milwaukee mike Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 tv having problems auto correcting for all the gingers on Northeastern.. Seriously how does the ND coach have a job 15 years with a 6-11 tourney record one time at a marquette/notre dame game my dad made the point that they say "here come the fighting irish!" and then a bunch of black guys come out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChicagoReallySucks Posted March 19, 2015 Report Share Posted March 19, 2015 I'll start this off by saying I had my worst year since I started betting college basketball - ended up with a loss on the season for the first time in a long time; I noticed many had the same outcome. That said, last year I had a great year and a horrible tournament ATS - did hit the winner, saving my tournament - so maybe, this year it will be reversed and I will have a shitty season and a great tournament. I think my numbers are still pretty efficient, I just think I reacted slowly this - not making the necessary adjustments in time. For starters, I have the following futures already locked in: SMU: +5000 UNC: +1500 Duke: +1050 (Only one of these that I bet that now has value is Duke) I added the following yesterday: Iowa: +22500 Maryland: +8000 Texas: +12500 Okie State: +42500 These are the sides I played for the 1st round: Ga State +9 Texas -1 1/2 SMU -4 VCU +4 New Mexico St +10 1/2 Okie State +1 1/2 I may add more later. What do you like? What are you on? What are your thoughts? Good luck. I don't really like any of your plays. I think all of your futures are sure fire losers. As for today's plays, I hate the SMU play. First time SMU has been in the dance in 22 years going against a blue blood team that is in the tourney every year who feels disrespected about people questioning their being in the dance and will surely come out ready to play. Don't really have opinions on the other games, although I don't really like the g. st play either, I think Baylor will roll them. So yeah. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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