maron Posted April 27, 2015 Report Share Posted April 27, 2015 Ok For the Yes or No on whether a run will be scored in the first inning. Besides weather, recent team trends, park factors, injuries, and starting pitcher splits for stats...what else does one use to make their best estimation in this bet. I have some other ones but would like to see if someone uses them to validate mine using them TY Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest boatboatboat Posted April 27, 2015 Report Share Posted April 27, 2015 on odd days I go NO run on even days I go YES run I have gone about 50/50 so far which is FAR better than I do when I look at ERA's and how the teams have been doing last 5 games in 1st innings Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maron Posted April 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted April 27, 2015 on odd days I go NO run on even days I go YES run I have gone about 50/50 so far which is FAR better than I do when I look at ERA's and how the teams have been doing last 5 games in 1st innings lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sweeper Posted April 27, 2015 Report Share Posted April 27, 2015 you need to be at the park and watch the warm-ups....just like the old clock watchers at the track Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maron Posted April 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted April 27, 2015 you need to be at the park and watch the warm-ups....just like the old clock watchers at the track Max on the No Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bucky Posted April 27, 2015 Report Share Posted April 27, 2015 factor in travel - things like third series on the road - 1st game of the new series. Home team has been at home waiting for them to go to town, etc. But, then again the linesmakers all factor the important things in. To find something that is important that the linesmakers don't know about is reallly, really, hard. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maron Posted April 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted April 27, 2015 factor in travel - things like third series on the road - 1st game of the new series. Home team has been at home waiting for them to go to town' date=' etc. But, then again the linesmakers all factor the important things in. To find something that is important that the linesmakers don't know about is reallly, really, hard.[/quote'] heres the question....How much do the linesmakers really look at any of these wagers...they have their equations and just plug numbers....the -115 both ways covers a lot of sins in keep old math around. I think they are lazy with an attitude of why change it if it is not broke. Point is, even at the -115 I think it is vulnerable because of the stability of the first inning as in starting pitchers and top of the lineups Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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